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>TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT STATEMENT

WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM JERRY ALERT STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
5:00 PM ECT TUE, OCT 7, 2025

THIS IS FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS

...TROPICAL STORM JERRY FORM OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

AT 5:00 PM ECT OR 2100Z THE CENTRE OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 46.4 WEST OR ABOUT 1119 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST AT 23 MILES PER HOUR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OF TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE CENTRE.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB OR 29.62 INCHES.

ON ITS PRESENT TRACK, THE SYSTEM WILL BE NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS BY THURSDAY EVENING INTO FRIDAY HENCE, A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR SOME OF THE ISLANDS IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. RESIDENTS SHOULD COMPLETE THEIR HURRICANE PLANS AND BE PREPARED TO START TO IMPLEMENT THEM.

ALL RESIDENTS ARE URGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE MOVEMENT OF JERRY

THE NEXT ALERT WILL BE AT .. 11 PM ECT

FORECASTER
CECIL MATTHEW